Changes in joint space width over time and risk factors for deterioration of joint space width after medial opening-wedge high tibial osteotomy

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the changes in joint space width (JSW) over time after medial opening-wedge high tibial osteotomy (MOWHTO) and identify risk factors for deterioration of JSW using anteroposterior (AP) and Rosenberg views. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed changes in JSW of 104 MOWHTO patients whose preoperative osteoarthritis (OA) grade was K-L grade 3 or less on AP and Rosenberg views. Serial changes in JSW were assessed from preoperatively to at least 3 years postoperatively. Patients were divided into two groups according to JSW change patterns on each of AP and Rosenberg views: non-deterioration group had either unchanged or increased JSW, and deterioration group had decreased JSW. Clinical outcomes were compared using Western Ontario and McMaster Universities OA Index (WOMAC) score between groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors for deterioration of JSW. Results: JSW on average for all patients increased 0.5 mm and 0.8 mm on AP and Rosenberg views, respectively (p < 0.05). Non-deterioration group showed significant improvement based on patient-reported outcomes (WOMAC) than deterioration group (all p < 0.05). Undercorrection was an independent risk factor for failure to achieve maintained or increased JSW on both AP (OR 6.885, 95% CI 1.976–23.986, p = 0.002) and Rosenberg (OR 12.756, 95% CI 2.952–55.129, p = 0.001) views. Conclusion: JSW increased gradually and continuously on standing AP and Rosenberg views until postoperative 3 years after MOWHTO. Deterioration of JSW following MOWHTO was closely related to the undercorrection and affected clinical outcomes. Level of evidence: Level III, case control study.