Prediction of pathologic staging with magnetic resonance imaging after preoperative chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer: Pooled analysis of KROG 10-01 and 11-02

Background and purpose: The reported overall accuracy of MRI in predicting the pathologic stage of nonirradiated rectal cancer is high. However, the role of MRI in restaging rectal tumors after neoadjuvant CRT is contentious. Thus, we evaluate the accuracy of restaging magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for rectal cancer patients who receive preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Methods and materials: We analyzed 150 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (T3-4N0-2) who had received preoperative CRT. Pre-CRT MRI was performed for local tumor and nodal staging. All patients underwent restaging MRI followed by total mesorectal excision after the end of radiotherapy. The primary endpoint of the present study was to estimate the accuracy of post-CRT MRI as compared with pathologic staging. Results: Pathologic T classification matched the post-CRT MRI findings in 97 (64.7%) of 150 patients. 36 (24.0%) of 150 patients were overstaged in T classification, and the concordance degree was moderate (k = 0.33, p < 0.01). Pathologic N classification matched the post-CRI MRI findings in 85 (56.6%) of 150 patients. 54 (36.0%) of 150 patients were overstaged in N classification. 26 patients achieved downstaging (ycT0-2N0) on restaging MRI after CRT. 23 (88.5%) of 26 patients who had been downstaged on MRI after CRT were confirmed on the pathological staging, and the concordance degree was good (k = 0.72, p < 0.01). Conclusions: Restaging MRI has low accuracy for the prediction of the pathologic T and N classifications in rectal cancer patients who received preoperative CRT. The diagnostic accuracy of restaging MRI is relatively high in rectal cancer patients who achieved clinical downstaging after CRT.