Prognostic significance of Glasgow prognostic score in patients with acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Background and objective: The Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) reflects the host systemic inflammatory response and is a validated independent prognostic factor in lung cancer. We investigated GPS as a potential predictive factor of clinical outcomes in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients with acute exacerbation (AE). Methods: This was a retrospective study performed between January 2006 and March 2016 in Bucheon St. Mary's Hospital, The Catholic University of Korea. Overall, 327 admitted IPF patients were registered in the study. Patients with definite pneumonia at the time of admission, those with left-sided heart failure, pulmonary embolism and an identifiable cause of acute lung injury, and those whose albumin or C-reactive protein levels were not measured were excluded. Results: A total of 66 patients hospitalized with IPF-AE were finally included. Median survival was 20.7 days and 29 (43.9%) patients died during hospitalization. The median length of overall survival (OS) was 26.0, 20.0 and 15.0 days for GPS-0, GPS-1 and GPS-2, respectively. There were significant differences in OS between GPS-0 and GPS-2 (P = 0.002). In a multivariate analysis performed using a Cox regression model, eosinopenia (P = 0.007), lower partial pressure of oxygen/fraction of inspired oxygen ratio (P = 0.014), and higher GPS (P = 0.006) were independent predictors of mortality. Conclusion: GPS can be helpful in predicting mortality in IPF patients with AE.